Field · 04

Market, Portfolio & Investment Risk

Portfolio construction, market risk framing, forecasting discipline, and quantitative experiments.

Thesis

Risk work should separate what is measured, what is assumed, and what remains uncertain.

Linked work

Research Collection2026Part of Forecast Future 2026

Forecast Future 2026

Explain how the Forecast Future 2026 Bridgewater submission fits together across system, forecasts, and thesis.

Role Research framing, systems design, indicator selection, scenario construction, probabilistic forecasting, stress testing, synthesis, model development, and documentation.

Artifact Public collection linking one primary forecasting system with two supporting insights.

Forecasting System2026Part of Forecast Future 2026

AI Power Conversion Chain Forecasting System

Show how the AI power-conversion analysis was constructed as a reproducible forecasting system.

Role Systems design, indicator selection, scenario construction, schema design, documentation, and repository organization.

Artifact Five connected analytical systems with interactive navigator, bottleneck-migration visual, methodology, and GitHub models.